In 2035, the united states would realize a 15% decrease in energy demand relative to 2010 and a. Power for a sustainable future kamil kaygusuz department of chemistry, karadeniz technical university, 61080 trabzon, turkey abstract by the end of the 21st century, according to united nations projections, the number of people on the earth is likely to have approximately doubled. Industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo 2012. Oecd green growth and sustainable development forum. Global wind energy outlook 2010 6 economics of wind development in new zealand, deloitte, april 2011 7 bloomberg new energy finance, november 2011 this countrys wind resource is one of the best in the world. Decisions to be made today on how the ever increasing energy and power demand is going to be met together with their economic. The oil demand response to lower prices in the mediumterm is constrained by factors such as efficiency improvements and energy conservation. The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis citation needed. Introduction global energy demand has been expanding rapidly. Industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012. Database documentation 2019 edition international energy agency transformation processes flow short name definition transformation processes tottranf transformation processes comprise the conversion of primary forms of energy to secondary and further transformation e.
World energy investment 2019 indiaenvironmentportal. Global energy and co2 status report 2018 energy demand page 3 key findings 2018 global energy consumption in 2018 increased at nearly twice the average rate of growth since 2010, driven by a. The world energy council has been developing and using world energy scenarios for over a decade to support its global member network of energy leaders, to clarify complexity, and to realise new opportunities for successfully managing global energy transition. Oil and gas will continue to dominate the energy mix, albeit with shifting trends. The international energy outlook 2019 provides longterm world energy projections 7. The waterenergy nexus,as water resources become increasingly stressed and access more contentious. In all the scenarios considered, world gdp more than doubles by 2040 driven by increasing prosperity in fastgrowing developing economies.
Moderate environmental concerns largely appeased by more use of gas. As in the past, we use the international energy agencys world energy outlook as a baseline in terms of the definition of regions, gdp, electricity demand, and population growth. Renewables for transport and heat include biofuels for transport and solar. World energy outlook 2007 expert meeting on bioenergy policy, markets and trade and food security fao, rome, 18 february 2008 teresa malyshev senior energy analyst, economic analysis division oecdiea 2007 reference scenario. This white paper is intended to replace and update nhas 2012 version, and includes the policy work ferc, along with state and federal agencies have developed to. Oecdiea 2007 world energy outlook 2007 expert meeting on bioenergy policy, markets and trade and food security fao, rome, 18 february 2008 teresa malyshev.
World energy outlook 2012 international energy agency. In the reference case, world energy consumption totals 911 quadrillion british thermal units btu in 2050287 quadrillion btu in the oecd countries and 624 quadrillion btu in the nonoecd countries. Energy market projections are uncertain because the events that shape future developments in technology, demographic changes, economic trends, and resource availability that drive energy use are fluid. An analysis of world energy outlook 2012 resilience. Energy information administration office of integrated and international energy analysis u.
With indias population and gdp expected to grow in the future, energy demand will see a. The ieo2017 is the first ed ition of this report to include mo del results through 2050, which are available on the ieo page of the eia website. Efw is energy from waste smallscale pv includes commercial and residential scale rooftop pv. This is where the world energy outlook weo comes in.
The world energy outlook explains the impact of todays decisions on tomorrows energy systems, and describes a pathway that enables the world to meet climate, energy access and air quality goals while maintaining a strong focus on the reliability and affordability of energy for a growing global population. Department of energy washington, dc 20585 this report was prepared by the u. Combined, the two fuels are expected to supply around 53% of the global energy mix by 2040. A perspective to 2040 the outlook for energy is exxonmobil s view of energy demand and supply through 2040. Oil, coal, natural gas, renewables and nuclear power are all covered, together with an update on climate change issues. Results from india energy model simi thambi1, anindya bhatacharya1, oliver fricko2 india currently ranks as one of the top energy consumers in the world. Rather the value of the energy outlook is in providing a structure and discipline. Global renewable energy market outlook, 23 april 20 3 world economy remains subdued.
Global final energy use and emissions with and without energy efficiency improvements, 200017 100 120 140 160 180 200 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2017 energy use 100 120 140 160 200 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2017 emissions 100 120 140 160 180 200 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2017 energy use gdp without energy efficiency actual. International energy agency world energy outlook 2006 dr. Measures of progress towards providing universal access to modern energy services. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the ieas directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. The engine of energy demand growth moves to south asia primary energy demand, 2035 mtoe china is the main driver of increasing energy demand in the current decade, but india takes over in the 2020s as the principal source of growth 4% 65% 10% 8% 8% 5% oecd nonoecd asia middle east africa latin america eurasia share of global growth 20122035 480. It does not aim to forecast the future, but provides a way of exploring different possible futures, the levers that bring them about and the interactions that arise across a complex energy system. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo 2012. Our edi results reveal a broadbased improvement in. The value of the outlook is not in trying to predict the future. Energy outlook watch the bp energy outlook 2017 video, containing our projections of longterm energy trends to 2035. In its annual energy outlook 2014, the eia 6 saw us transport final energy consumption decreasing out to 2040 at an aver age annual rate of 0. Database documentation 2019 edition international energy agency 2. Power for a sustainable future kamil kaygusuz department of chemistry, karadeniz technical university, 61080 trabzon, turkey abstract by the end of the 21st century, according to united nations projections, the number of people on the earth is. Turkeys renewable power alternative power supply scenarios for turkey 5 with one of the most dynamic energy markets in the world, turkey is at a critical crossroads.
World energy outlook 2018 international energy agency. The international energy outlook 2010 ieo2010 presents an assessment by the u. It is a composite index that measures a countrys energy development at household and community level. Energyrelated co 2 emissions by region china overtakes the us as the worlds biggest emitter before 2010, though its per capita emissions reach just 60% of those of the oecd in 2030 0 3 6 9 12 15 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 gigatonnes of co 2 united states china rest of nonoecd rest of oecd. Annual energy outlook 2012 with projections to 2035 june 2012 u. Industry and government decisionmakers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012. World oil outlook 2016 organization of the petroleum exporting countries e d it o n. World energy outlook 2012 analysis and key findings. Policy research notes represent the views of the authors and do. Between 2015 and 2040, world energy consumption increases by 28% in the. The profound disappointment at the failure of governments to come to grips with the issue resulted in climate change being.
International energy outlook 2017 activate capital. World energy outlook 2011 international energy forum ief. With indias population and gdp expected to grow in the future, energy demand will see a significant rise and with that. Eias international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 presents an assessment of longterm world energy markets. Energy drives the longer term cost structure as does ethane demand growth. The iea world energy outlook 2012 suggests that, for the foreseeable future, power production from most sources will continue to increase figure 1. The shift to a more servicesoriented economy and a cleaner energy mix in china, the worlds largest energy consumer, subject of a detailed focus in this outlook. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and. In the efficient world scenario, energy intensity will improve by around 3% per year, a stepup from current levels, resulting in minimal increases in energy demand, despite the global economy doubling. Eia, international energy outlook 2017 6 32% 31% 15% 15% 12% 3% 10% %400 3% 14% 25%. Pumped storage report national hydropower association. It represents the leading source citation needed for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy business.
The efficient world scenario delays carbon lockin energy efficiency can delay lockin of o. With the release of the growing role of minerals for a low carbon future, the world bank is contributing towards ensuring that this topic is given its rightful place in the world bank. The world energy investment wei report is the worlds benchmark for tracking investment trends across the. On 12 november the ieas world energy outlook report for 2012. World primary energy demand global demand grows by more than half over the next quarter of a century, with coal use rising most in absolute terms oil coal gas. Pdf versions and powerpoint slide packsof the charts, maps and graphs, plus an excel workbook of the data. Any such attempt is doomed to fail the uncertainty surrounding the energy transition is here to stay. In primary energies required for life and economic activity, the ratio that can be secured within ones own country.
The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energyrelated emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. The graphics in this presen tation focus on projections through 2040. We use the outlook to help inform our longterm business strategies and investment plans. Renewables for transport and heat include biofuels for transport and solar thermal heating.
World energy outlook 2012 laura cozzi deputy head, global energy economics. Database description the world co2 emissions from fuel combustion database contains annual co2 emissions from fuel combustion and related indicators for over 140 countries and regional aggregates. Energy information administration eia, the statistical and analytical agency within the u. World energy outlook 2017 international energy agency. Iea energy efficiency 2018 and world energy outlook 2018. In the high economic growth case, world energy use in 2050 is about 1,090 quadrillion btu. Lowcarbon sources, led by solar photovoltaics pv, supply more than half of this. Created based on iea energy balance of oecd countries 2017 the ranking in the table is the ranking of the 35 oecd countries. The annual energy outlook 2012 is available on the eia website at. In its report, annual energy outlook 2012 with projections to 2035 released in june. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development. Energy information administration eia of the outlook for international energy markets through 2035.
Roughly 63% of oil consumption is from the transport sector. For many years the outlook for energy has helped inform exxonmobil s longterm business strategies, investment plans, and research programs. Rising demand for mobility and reliance on more difficult and costly. In the stated policies scenario, energy demand rises by 1% per year to 2040. Floating production systems market outlook 2015 2019. This years energy outlook provides fresh insight into these trends and many more. World energy outlook 2012 industry and government decision makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need weo2012. Rising demand for mobility and reliance on more difficult and costly sources of supply keep pressure on oil prices. Fatih birol chief economist international energy agency oecdiea 2006 the reference scenario. Projections in international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 are not.